Announcement of DA from Jan 2013: Speculation of reasons for delay

After implementation of recommendations of Sixth Pay Commission the Govt. has accepted the calculation of standard formula for calculation of future DA and in para 4.1.19 Sixth Pay commission has recommended that DA may continue to be sanctioned twice a year as on 1st January and 1st July payable with the salary of March and September. 
After 6th CPC implementation order of DA from January of respective years was issued/declared as follows:-
15/3/2007- 6% – Thursday07/3/2008 -6% – Monday26/2/2009- 6% – Thursday19/3/2010 – 8% – Friday22/3/2011- 6% – Tuesday23/3/2012 -7% – Friday

DA from January, 2013 is yet to be announced.  No any reason for delay is stated from any reliable sources and no exact reason can be constitute for it.  Now everyone to speculate the reason for delay in announcement.  The following main facts are presented to inspect the reasons:

1. Merger of DA with Basic Pay:  This is the first reason is everyone’s mind. 
Positive points are for this reason:-

(a).  Unexpected delay in announcement -  Traditionally DA for January should be announced in the Month of March.  There is no complicated formula for calculation of expected DA.  Only formal announcement was to made by Govt.

(b).  2014 General Election – Next General Election is in near future.  All are expecting that Govt. may consider about merger of DA in view of the inflation and vote bank.

(c).  Union Minister Ajay Maken’s letter to PM about inflation -  This letter showing that some part of Govt. is also in favour of enhancement of pay and allowances of Central Government Employees.

(d).  Employee Unions are pressing hard for merger of DA.

(e).  In press clip for expectation of announcement of DA on 2th April mostly news article added that confederation has demanded the merger of DA and in practice govt. merged the DA when it reach 50% cap.